Target
$384.31 → $384.07
Current stock research snapshot · 7/22/26 35 days old
CRWDCrowdStrike Holdings, Inc.
Investment conviction●●○○○2 of 5 · current snapshot
Research target$384.07Current stock price target
Investment thesis statusINTACTLast reviewed 7/22/26
Market cap$186.63BSnapshot value · 7/22/26
Research history
See all CRWD changes ↗What changed
Target
$385.88 → $384.31
DT research_only — WATCH only. Zero Trust thesis is solid but tech moat 2.7 (ts=1.8, ec=2.0) is weak — endpoint security
Q2 FY26 earnings (Aug 2026) — revenue growth acceleration from Falcon Flex bundles Federal zero-trust mandate (EO 14028 compliance deadline) driving govt EDR adoption Charlotte AI agent monetization adding ARPU to existing Falcon customer base
Thesis breaks if Microsoft E5/bundle economics eliminate the need for a separate endpoint platform in enough large enterprises; net-new ARR decelerates below high-teens with GM compression; or another broad reliability incident damages trust in the Falcon sensor layer. (vault 2026-08-22)
Neutral — Earnings tomorrow (8/26 close) with 8.14% expected move; guided net new ARR $284-286M (+28-29% YoY) to reach $5.79B total ARR (+24%); stock down 17.7% from Aug 13 high into print. [X search Aug 2026]
Snapshot · 7/22/26🟢 Lean-Bull · ins-$8.7M · 13F 18+/7-×0.5 · short↓0.24
Snapshot · 7/22/26